Bernardo M. Villegas
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OFW Remittances: Foolproof Engine of Growth (Part 1)

 Last year, total personal remittances from overseas Filipino workers to the Philippines reached US$ 38.34 billion, representing a 3 % increase from the US$ 37.21 billion recorded in 2023.  Cash remittances (sent through banks) totaled US$ 34.49 billion, up 3% from US$33.49 billion in 2023.  These remittances constituted some 8.3% of GDP and 7.4% of GNI in 2024.  There are unofficial estimates that the total remittances annually can reach $40 billion or more if we include what the returning workers do not channel through banks but actually carry them in actual currencies or goods (pasalubong).

The sources by country of these remittances in 2024 were the United States (40.6%), Singapore (7.2%), Saudi Arabia (6.4 %), Japan (4.9%), United Kingdom (4.7 %), Canada (3.6 %), Qatar (2.8 %) Taiwan (2.7 %), and South Korea (2.5%).  The large amounts coming from the U.S. can be partly explained by the practice of OFWS, especially those from the Middle East, of routing their remittances through US-based correspondent banks.  Over the last twenty years, the annual increase of OFW remittances has averaged 3 to 5% despite global crises.  In fact, during the pandemic, when hundreds of thousand of Filipino workers were sent home from the Middle East, the decline in OFW remittances was less than 1 %, demonstrating how resilient this source of GDP growth for the Philippines.

Once again this year 2025, there are threats to OFW remittances as a result of the expected slowdown in the global economy emanating mainly from the anti-trade policies being implemented by the Trump Administration.  As mentioned above, the mere slowdown of the global economy in the past hardly affected the flow of OFW remittances to the Philippines.  Growth every year averaged at least 3 %, with a high of 6 % during some years.  One explanation given for this resilience of this sector is the positive response of the OFWs to the financial difficulties their relatives face during challenging times.  The OFWs become more generous and dip into their savings when times get more difficult for their relatives, increasing their remittances. 

What about the plan of the Trump Administration to include a remittance tax in the so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)” now pending in the U.S. Congress?  What is the current status of this Bill?  The House version, which was passed last May 22, 2025 included a 3.5 % excise tax on remittances after December 31, 2025, targeting transfers sent by non-U.S. citizens. Last July 1, 2025, the Senate version reduced the tax to 1%, applying only to cash remittances (not bank/credit/debt transfers).  The tax will apply to any sender, including U.S. citizens, but exempts transfers from U.S. bank accounts or debit/credit cards under the Bank Secrecy Act.  Remittances from Overseas Filipino Workers would not be exempt.  OFWs sending cash, money orders, or cashier’s checks—and not via U.S. bank or debit/credit cards—would incur the 1% excise tax under the Senate version.  If they use U.S.-based bank or card transfers, those would not be taxed.

Whatever version will be finally passed by the U.S. Congress, there is consensus among economists that the negative impact on Philippine GDP will be minimal.  To illustrate, a 1% surcharge automatically withheld at the counter would mean that a US$ 500 cash sent would cost an extra US $5.  Under the Senate version, remittances of OFWs will be generally exempt because they already use Zelle-to-bank or remittance apps from U.S. accounts. Filipinos are digitally advanced and would be expected to migrate to these channels. Also exempt Fintechs (e.g. Remitly, Wise, etc) would likely highlight their advantages to customers. Surveys by BSP and the PIDS show cost-sensitive OFWs trim transfer fees when all-in fees break 5%.  An extra 1% on cash under the Senate version would push the average US-PH corridor cost from 4.4% to 5.4.  Finally, as Secretary of Finance Ralph Rector observed, Filipinos are generally clever enough to avoid taxes by just having recourse to carrying cash with them without being detected.  Given all these considerations, the so-called OBBBA will pose no significant threat to OFW remittances this year and in the coming years.

The OFW phenomenon is part and parcel of the long history of the Filipino people as a nation. Here, I will borrow extensively from a Magisterial Lecture given by Dr. Veronica Ramirez, Full Professor of the University of Asia and the Pacific, who is a foremost scholar on this very important topic.  She occupied for many years the Professorial and Research Chair on Overseas Filipino Workers that was endowed by the Bank of the Philippine Islands to the UA&P. In a lecture based on both her personal experiences interacting with OFWs all over the world and her scholarly research, she wrote a paper which is to be delivered as a Magisterial Lecture at the UA&P some time in August of 2025.  For the benefit of all who are trying to understand the enduring role of the OFWs in Philippine society, I will summarize some of her findings culled from her multidisciplinary research involving history, economics, the arts and politics. 

The OFW phenomenon started with the Galleon Trade between the Philippines and Mexico in the  16th Century.   In 1790, the Philippines opened its doors to  world trade.  Filipino men were recruited to work in the galleon ships that travelled to Acapulco, Mexico.  Hundreds of islanders from the Philippine Archipelago joined the ships.  Similar to what is still happening in both North America and Europe today, the islanders upon reaching the areas of Mexico that were under U.S. jurisdiction, decided to jump ship to migrate to North America.  It can be said that these were the first Overseas “Filipinos.”

In the 1900s, when the Philippines was a colony of the United States, farmworkers from the Philippine Archipelago called “sakadas” in the local dialect traveled to Hawaii in order to work in the sugar plantations.  There were also the knowledge workers, scholars in different disciplines, who went to the U.S. to study under scholarship programs of the U.S. Government.  In fact, as late as the 1960s, I was able to study at Harvard University as a Fullbright scholar. Since Fullbright and other scholars had to find some part-time jobs to make both ends meet, they could also be considered as overseas workers.  In the Filipino migration that followed through the centuries, three categories emerged:  Permanent migrants, i.e. those immigrants who are legal permanent residents, and naturalized citizens of their host country; Temporary migrants, those documented land-based  and sea-based  workers and others who stayed under contract, or those with accompanying dependents  (these are the ones who are called Overseas Filipino Workers); and the last group are Irregular workers without valid work permits but were recruited by unscrupulous recruitment agencies or who may be overstaying workers or tourists.  To be continued.